Thursday, June 18, 2009 @ 10:00 PM

Hedge Ratios for Friday

Filed in Sentiment Watch (Subscribers) | Read Article

Use these hedge ratios in the event you need to hedge ETFs found in our model investment portfolios with their corresponding inverse/bear funds.

In Part One, I established some facts and asked why China, Russia, and to a lesser extent, Brazil, are in such a huge hurry to join the big leagues while Japan’s trust in Treasuries is ‘unshakable’. No doubt, we will be hearing much from next week’s conference of BRIC nations. In this article, we examine the motivations behind the noise.

Wednesday, June 10, 2009 @ 10:00 AM

Investment Theme of the Week

Filed in Sentiment Watch (Subscribers) | Read Article

You know sentiment has changed when a smiling Tim Geithner appears on the home page of FT.com.

I am well-aware of the high anxiety about the U.S. Dollar, Treasuries and interest rates, but at the same time, we know that even the pizza delivery guy can recite the party line: U.S. is a big debtor nation, blah, blah, blah. There are two questions we must ask.

There is a piece of market wisdom that states new bull markets are driven by a different engine than the previous one. Because commodities led the last bull market, many observers see this as an ominous sign.

There is an old saying that goes, “He who lives in a glass house shouldn’t throw stones.” Apparently, no one in China has ever heard of it.

Thursday, May 14, 2009 @ 3:06 PM

Attention Treasury Bears

Filed in Sentiment Watch (Subscribers) | Read Article

Bob Pisani’s Trading 101 for retail focused on using TBT to short the T-bond. Interesting.

Thursday, May 14, 2009 @ 2:29 PM

Regaining Financial Control

Filed in Sentiment Watch (Subscribers) | Read Article

People are so worried that many have even stopped taking vacations. They are also being bombarded by media with shows designed to regain financial control.

We know that inventories are being drawn down even as stockpiles of raw materials have built up. Stocks have climbed an incredibly high wall of worry and now, things are starting to get tricky. What if the recovery is L-shaped?

Further to Steve’s comment with regard to How to Reduce Excess Everything, I googled the word stockpile and the results are interesting.

WAIT, THERE’S MORE »