What a Day! What a Week! What a Month!
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Each Friday, I calculate the preliminary allocations for our satellite portfolios based on information available at 3PM Eastern, but today’s market mayhem made it virtually impossible to come up with numbers that would come close to the final set.
Instead, all members received an email containing this part:
In any case, most of you are now in cash following the September 25 Special Report so there is no need to rebalance anything. My suggestion is to turn off the TV and go outside. Those of you that are hedged using the method outlined in the September 21 article on inverse funds should maintain the positions as they are. We are not taking off any hedges today.
In case you are wondering, friends and family I trade for are doing fine. The zen-like strategy of diversification amongst all major asset classes coupled with classic hedging using futures contracts (which my young masters of the universe quant friends thought was just “too plain vanilla”) is working as expected, like clockwork. Lesson learned — by them that while K.I.S.S. is not elaborate enough to justify charging 2 and 20 fees, it is definitely in the client’s best interest.
And this too shall pass,
Teresa and Pete
Videos of the Week
There were two excellent videos, both from today:
- Market Mavens [WATCH VIDEO]
Searching for investment opportunities, with Bill Spiropoulos CEO CoreStates Capital Advisors; J.J. Burns President, JJ Burns & Company and CNBC’s Bill Griffeth & Sue Herrera. - LEH CDS: Judgement Day [WATCH VIDEO]
How to play the CDS market, Tim Backshall, Credit Derivatives Research and CNBC’s Bill Griffeth, Sue Herera, Michelle Caruso-Cabrera & Dennis Kneale.
Pattern of the Day
After the close yesterday, members were alerted to a certain pattern on the 65-minute chart of the S&P 500 index.

65-minute S&P 500 ETF Chart
It was nasty all right, but it was an Elliott Wave 4 running triangle followed by the spike down. Would have been nice to close above the apex, but the bell rang and that was it.
Questions and Comments
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Key Reference Articles
For your convenience, this is a list of key reference articles. Most of these articles are archived in the Knowledge Base for registered users and members.
Trading Ideas, Market Barometers, Correlation & Volatility
- Using The Daily Workbook
- Q&A: Stock Picking and Self-Attribution Bias
- A Conversation with Charles Kirk
- Barometers: What The Market Says
- The Beauty Contest Stock Scan
- Relative Momentum and Strength Are Key
- How to Read the RMI Histogram
- Putting It Together
- The Correlation Heat Map
- Identifying Volatility Clusters
- VIX and The Rules of Investing
Investor Sentiment
- 50 Ways to Lose Your Money
- The Philosophy of Tops
- The Investor Sentiment Cycle, Part I
- The Investor Sentiment Cycle, Part II
- Where We Are In The Cycle
- Where We Are In The Cycle, Part II
- Sentiment Lesson from Corn & Soybeans
- Financial Economics Lecture 18: Behavioural Finance
Economic Fundamentals
- The World According to Brock (Introduction)
- The World According to Brock I
- The World According to Brock II
- The World According to Brock III
- The World According to Brock IV
- Bernanke Takes Aim At Counterknowledge
Fundamentals of Trading
- Teresa’s Rules of Market Survival
- Evaluating Buy and Sell Signals
- Principles of Profitable Trading
- Glossary of Trade Setups
- Options: Bull Call and Bear Put Spreads
- Q&A: Trading with Call and Put Spreads
- How To Think Diabolically
- Trade Like a Commando, Part I
- Thoughts on Position Sizing
- Own The Zone: Chapter One
- Own The Zone: Chapter Two
- Own The Zone: Chapter Three
- Own The Zone: Chapter Four
- Own The Zone: Chapter Five
- Own The Zone: Chapter Six
- Own The Zone: Chapter Seven
- Stops Cannot Be Eyeballed
- Thoughts on the Kase Dev-stop
- Engineering Better Bollinger Bands
- Expectancy, Performance and The “R” Word
- Q&A: Are Moving Averages Useful?
- Q&A: Interpretation of Moving Averages
Investment Portfolios
- Q&A: Where Do I Start?
- Q&A: Vanguard and Fidelity Equivalents
- Building Your Portfolio: Part I
- Building Your Portfolio: Part II
- Building Your Portfolio: Part III
- Building Your Portfolio: Part IV
- Building Your Portfolio: Part V
- Building Your Portfolio: Part VI
- Building Your Portfolio: Part VII
- Building Your Portfolio: Part VIII
- Building Your Portfolio: Part IX
- Should You Trade Your Investment Portfolio? I
- Should You Trade Your Investment Portfolio? II
- Should You Trade Your Investment Portfolio? III
- Should You Trade Your Investment Portfolio? IV
- Risk Management for Civilians (HEDGING)
- The Last Word on Hedging with ETFs (HEDGING)
- Hedge Ratios for Inverse ETFs are Here (HEDGING)
- Q&A: Hedging, a Step by Step Guide (HEDGING)
- Moving Averages for Portfolio Timing
- Alpha vs. Beta for Your Portfolio
- Time To Get Back Into the Market? Part 1
- Time To Get Back Into the Market? Part 2
- Time To Get Back Into the Market? Part 3
- Time To Get Back Into the Market? Part 4
- A Conversation with David Fry
Recommended Reading
Before you trade or invest, take time to contemplate and understand some fundamental truths.
- The Meditations of Marcus Aurelius
- The Nature of Risk
- Winning The Mental Game on Wall Street
- Reminiscences of a Stock Operator
- A Mathematician Plays The Stock Market
- How to Lie with Statistics
- Chance
- Game Theory: A Very Short Introduction
- The Winner's Curse
- Behavioral Finance & Decision Theory
- New Market Wizards (Eckhardt Chapter)
- Pioneering Portfolio Management
- Unconventional Success
- A Brief History of Economic Genius
- General Economic History
- The Age of Turbulence
- In an Uncertain World
Once again you are to be congratulated!!!